More Hurricanes Than Ever Will Impact New York in Near Future
A new study is warning New Yorkers to prepare for more hurricanes than ever in the Empire State.
A Yale-led study projects the 21st century will see an increase of hurricanes in New York. An expansion of hurricanes and typhoons are expected in mid-latitude regions, which includes major cities like New York City, Boston, Beijing and Tokyo.
Researchers believed hurricanes will appear over a wider range of latitudes than they have in the last 3 million years.
“This represents an important, under-estimated risk of climate change,” one of the study's authors Joshua Studholme, a physicist in Yale’s Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences in the Faculty of Arts and Sciences, stated. "This research predicts that the 21st century’s tropical cyclones will likely occur over a wider range of latitudes than has been the case on Earth for the last 3 million years."
The study’s authors believe tropical cyclones, hurricanes and typhoons could migrate north and south as the planet warms as a result of greenhouse gas emissions. 2020’s subtropical storm Alpha, the first tropical cyclone observed making landfall in Portugal, and this year’s Hurricane Henri, which made landfall in Connecticut, may be precursors of such storms.
Researchers analyzed numerical simulations of warm climates from Earth’s distant past, recent satellite observations, and a variety of weather and climate projections, as well as the fundamental physics governing atmospheric convection and planetary-scale winds.
Researchers noted that simulations of warmer climates 56 to 34 million years ago and 5.3 to 2.6 million years ago saw tropical cyclones form and intensify at higher latitudes.
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